2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 12:45 AM · Tiger Stadium (LA)

Western Kentucky @ LSU

Predicted scoreConfident

Western Kentucky

17.7

LSU

35.1

LSU win probability: 87%

Margin (LSU − Western Kentucky): 17.5 (80% range -3 to 38)

Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)

Actual: Western Kentucky 10 – LSU 13 (margin error 14.5, total error 29.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.