Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs South Florida | 24–41 | 21.9–34.9 | 4.0 |
| Week 3 | @ Ohio State | 63–10 | 39.3–17.5 | 31.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Troy | 27–24 | 26.0–23.2 | 0.2 |
| Week 5 | vs Middle Tennessee | 10–31 | 25.0–32.2 | 13.9 |
| Week 6 | @ Louisiana Tech | 28–35 | 20.6–31.4 | 3.8 |
| Week 8 | @ Jacksonville State | 20–17 | 25.0–27.2 | 5.3 |
| Week 9 | vs Liberty | 42–29 | 27.2–27.7 | 13.4 |
| Week 10 | @ UTEP | 13–21 | 22.6–30.6 | 0.0 |
| Week 11 | vs New Mexico State | 38–29 | 22.8–32.9 | 19.1 |
| Week 12 | vs Sam Houston | 23–28 | 21.3–29.9 | 3.6 |
| Week 13 | @ Florida International | 28–41 | 20.5–31.6 | 1.9 |
| Week 1 | @ Old Dominion | 35–38 | 21.7–30.7 | 6.1 |