2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 8:00 PM · FIU Stadium
Western Kentucky @ Florida International
Predicted scoreLikely
Western Kentucky
31.6
Florida International
20.5
Florida International win probability: 24%
Margin (Florida International − Western Kentucky): -11.1 (80% range -31 to 9)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Western Kentucky 41 – Florida International 28 (margin error 1.9, total error 17.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 28 | 14 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.