2023 Week 8 · Oct 17, 2023, 11:30 PM · AmFirst Stadium

Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Western Kentucky

27.2

Jacksonville State

25.0

Jacksonville State win probability: 44%

Margin (Jacksonville State − Western Kentucky): -2.3 (80% range -23 to 18)

Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Western Kentucky 17 – Jacksonville State 20 (margin error 5.3, total error 15.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.