2023 Postseason · Dec 18, 2023, 7:30 PM · Jerry Richardson Stadium (neutral site)

Western Kentucky @ Old Dominion

Predicted scoreLikely

Western Kentucky

30.7

Old Dominion

21.7

Old Dominion win probability: 28%

Margin (Old Dominion − Western Kentucky): -9.1 (80% range -29 to 11)

Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Western Kentucky 38 – Old Dominion 35 (margin error 6.1, total error 20.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.