Sam's Scores

Old Dominion

Sun Belt

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts
WeekOpponentPredicted scoreWin prob
Week 8@ Louisiana Tech26.7–17.828%
Week 9vs Marshall21.9–26.361%
Week 10@ Coastal Carolina21.7–22.050%
Week 12@ UConn27.9–22.135%
Week 13vs Southern Miss20.3–27.067%
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
WeekOpponentActualPredictedMargin error
Week 1vs Norfolk State10–31——
Week 2@ Virginia Tech44–2128.2–23.818.6
Week 3vs East Carolina20–1724.6–26.14.5
Week 4vs James Madison46–2028.7–21.018.3
Week 5@ Georgia State42–1024.7–26.533.7
Week 6@ App State3–1025.2–23.88.4
Week 7vs Georgia Southern23–1524.4–22.86.4