2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 8:30 PM · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Old Dominion @ UConn
Predicted scoreToss-up
Old Dominion
28.5
UConn
25.4
UConn win probability: 43%
Margin (UConn − Old Dominion): -3.0 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:56 PM | -3.0 | 53.9 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:56 PM | -3.0 | 53.9 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:54 PM | -3.0 | 53.9 | 43% |