2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Southern Miss @ Old Dominion
Predicted scoreLikely
Southern Miss
17.5
Old Dominion
32.4
Old Dominion win probability: 83%
Margin (Old Dominion − Southern Miss): 14.9 (80% range -4 to 35)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:07 PM | 14.9 | 49.9 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:06 PM | 14.9 | 49.9 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:36 PM | 14.9 | 49.9 | 83% |