Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
| Week | Opponent | Predicted score | Win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Auburn | 35.3–16.0 | 10% |
| Week 3 | vs UConn | 30.2–26.7 | 41% |
| Week 4 | @ Tulane | 34.6–18.8 | 16% |
| Week 6 | @ Troy | 26.5–21.7 | 38% |
| Week 7 | vs Arkansas State | 26.3–28.9 | 57% |
| Week 8 | vs Louisiana | 27.0–25.7 | 47% |
| Week 9 | @ UL Monroe | 23.5–27.1 | 59% |
| Week 10 | vs James Madison | 33.7–17.6 | 15% |
| Week 11 | @ Louisiana Tech | 28.5–22.5 | 35% |
| Week 12 | vs South Alabama | 27.9–26.5 | 46% |
| Week 13 | @ Old Dominion | 32.4–17.5 | 17% |
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
No completed, graded games for 2026 yet.