Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2021 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2021
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ South Alabama | 31–7 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Troy | 21–9 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Alabama | 63–14 | — | — |
| Week 5 | @ Rice | 24–19 | — | — |
| Week 6 | vs UTEP | 26–13 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs UAB | 34–0 | — | — |
| Week 9 | @ Middle Tennessee | 35–10 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs North Texas | 38–14 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ UTSA | 27–17 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ Louisiana Tech | 19–35 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Florida International | 17–37 | — | — |