Southern Miss

Sun Belt

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Louisiana	28.9–21.6	32%
Week 9	@ UL Monroe	23.0–29.7	66%
Week 10	vs James Madison	35.2–19.8	17%
Week 11	@ Louisiana Tech	32.5–20.0	22%
Week 12	vs South Alabama	32.4–26.3	35%
Week 13	@ Old Dominion	27.0–20.3	33%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Alcorn State	3–49	—	—
Week 2	@ Auburn	43–8	36.2–14.9	13.7
Week 3	vs UConn	48–20	29.2–26.9	25.7
Week 4	@ Tulane	24–21	33.0–18.7	11.2
Week 6	@ Troy	55–34	28.3–20.2	12.9
Week 7	vs Arkansas State	23–13	29.6–29.8	10.2