2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Louisiana @ Southern Miss
Predicted scoreToss-up
Louisiana
27.0
Southern Miss
25.7
Southern Miss win probability: 47%
Margin (Southern Miss − Louisiana): -1.3 (80% range -21 to 19)
Total: 52.7 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:51 PM | -1.3 | 52.6 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:52 PM | -1.3 | 52.7 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:55 PM | -1.3 | 52.7 | 47% |