Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2022 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2022
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Liberty | 29–27 | — | — |
| Week 2 | @ Miami | 30–7 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ Tulane | 24–27 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ Troy | 27–10 | — | — |
| Week 7 | vs Arkansas State | 19–20 | — | — |
| Week 8 | @ Texas State | 14–20 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Louisiana | 24–39 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Georgia State | 42–14 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Coastal Carolina | 26–23 | — | — |
| Week 12 | vs South Alabama | 27–20 | — | — |
| Week 13 | @ UL Monroe | 10–20 | — | — |
| Week 1 | vs Rice | 24–38 | — | — |