Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2024 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2024
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Kentucky | 31–0 | 36.3–16.0 | 10.7 |
| Week 3 | vs South Florida | 49–24 | 31.8–23.6 | 16.8 |
| Week 4 | @ Jacksonville State | 44–7 | 31.4–25.5 | 31.1 |
| Week 6 | vs Louisiana | 23–13 | 35.2–18.8 | 6.4 |
| Week 7 | @ UL Monroe | 38–21 | 30.3–15.2 | 1.9 |
| Week 8 | vs Arkansas State | 44–28 | 34.1–25.0 | 6.9 |
| Week 9 | @ James Madison | 32–15 | 40.0–16.1 | 7.0 |
| Week 11 | vs Marshall | 37–3 | 33.2–23.2 | 24.1 |
| Week 12 | @ Texas State | 58–3 | 37.8–17.2 | 34.3 |
| Week 13 | vs South Alabama | 35–14 | 34.9–18.8 | 4.9 |
| Week 14 | @ Troy | 52–20 | 33.8–18.2 | 16.4 |