2024 Week 9 · Oct 26, 2024, 7:30 PM · Bridgeforth Stadium

Southern Miss @ James Madison

Predicted scoreConfident

Southern Miss

16.1

James Madison

40.0

James Madison win probability: 93%

Margin (James Madison − Southern Miss): 24.0 (80% range 3 to 45)

Total: 56.1 (80% range 34 to 80)

Actual: Southern Miss 15 – James Madison 32 (margin error 7.0, total error 9.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.