2024 Week 7 · Oct 12, 2024, 9:00 PM · Malone Stadium
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe
Predicted scoreLikely
Southern Miss
15.2
UL Monroe
30.3
UL Monroe win probability: 84%
Margin (UL Monroe − Southern Miss): 15.1 (80% range -4 to 35)
Total: 45.5 (80% range 24 to 68)
Actual: Southern Miss 21 – UL Monroe 38 (margin error 1.9, total error 13.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 24 | 0.97% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.94% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.82% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.