Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2016 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2016
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Kentucky | 35–44 | — | — |
| Week 3 | vs Troy | 37–31 | — | — |
| Week 4 | @ UTEP | 7–34 | — | — |
| Week 5 | vs Rice | 28–44 | — | — |
| Week 6 | @ UTSA | 55–32 | — | — |
| Week 7 | @ LSU | 45–10 | — | — |
| Week 9 | vs Marshall | 14–24 | — | — |
| Week 10 | vs Charlotte | 38–27 | — | — |
| Week 11 | @ Old Dominion | 51–35 | — | — |
| Week 12 | @ North Texas | 29–23 | — | — |
| Week 13 | vs Louisiana Tech | 24–39 | — | — |
| Week 1 | @ Louisiana | 21–28 | — | — |