Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Florida State | 66–13 | 37.1–16.5 | 32.4 |
| Week 3 | vs Tulane | 21–3 | 32.4–19.5 | 5.0 |
| Week 4 | @ Arkansas State | 44–37 | 25.9–29.2 | 10.3 |
| Week 5 | vs Texas State | 50–36 | 27.6–21.6 | 8.1 |
| Week 6 | vs Old Dominion | 17–13 | 28.3–23.5 | 0.9 |
| Week 8 | @ South Alabama | 55–3 | 34.8–14.5 | 31.7 |
| Week 9 | @ App State | 48–38 | 32.0–21.7 | 0.3 |
| Week 10 | vs UL Monroe | 7–24 | 26.2–26.7 | 16.5 |
| Week 11 | @ Louisiana | 31–34 | 32.0–20.2 | 14.8 |
| Week 12 | @ Mississippi State | 41–20 | 29.9–19.1 | 10.2 |
| Week 13 | vs Troy | 35–17 | 30.8–16.3 | 3.5 |