2023 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2023, 12:30 AM · Cajun Field
Southern Miss @ Louisiana
Predicted scoreLikely
Southern Miss
20.2
Louisiana
32.0
Louisiana win probability: 77%
Margin (Louisiana − Southern Miss): 11.8 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Southern Miss 34 – Louisiana 31 (margin error 14.8, total error 12.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.