2023 Week 8 · Oct 17, 2023, 11:30 PM · Hancock Whitney Stadium

Southern Miss @ South Alabama

Predicted scoreConfident

Southern Miss

14.5

South Alabama

34.8

South Alabama win probability: 90%

Margin (South Alabama − Southern Miss): 20.3 (80% range 0 to 41)

Total: 49.3 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Southern Miss 3 – South Alabama 55 (margin error 31.7, total error 8.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.