2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 11:00 PM · M. M. Roberts Stadium

Old Dominion @ Southern Miss

Predicted scoreLean

Old Dominion

28.3

Southern Miss

23.5

Southern Miss win probability: 38%

Margin (Southern Miss − Old Dominion): -4.9 (80% range -25 to 15)

Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Old Dominion 17 – Southern Miss 13 (margin error 0.9, total error 21.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.