2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 8:00 PM · M. M. Roberts Stadium

UL Monroe @ Southern Miss

Predicted scoreToss-up

UL Monroe

26.2

Southern Miss

26.7

Southern Miss win probability: 51%

Margin (Southern Miss − UL Monroe): 0.5 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 52.9 (80% range 30 to 78)

Actual: UL Monroe 7 – Southern Miss 24 (margin error 16.5, total error 21.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.