2024 Week 1 · Aug 31, 2024, 11:45 PM · Kroger Field
Southern Miss @ Kentucky
Predicted scoreConfident
Southern Miss
16.0
Kentucky
36.3
Kentucky win probability: 90%
Margin (Kentucky − Southern Miss): 20.3 (80% range 0 to 41)
Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Southern Miss 0 – Kentucky 31 (margin error 10.7, total error 21.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 38 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.