Kentucky

SEC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Vanderbilt	20.3–28.4	70%
Week 10	@ Tennessee	27.4–18.0	27%
Week 11	vs Florida	26.6–27.2	52%
Week 12	@ Missouri	24.9–20.5	38%
Week 13	vs Louisville	23.8–28.0	60%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Youngstown State	13–45	—	—
Week 2	vs Alabama	45–17	29.6–17.7	16.1
Week 3	@ Texas A&M	21–31	32.0–13.8	28.2
Week 4	vs South Alabama	21–45	18.9–32.0	10.9
Week 5	@ South Carolina	34–35	24.5–22.0	3.5
Week 6	vs LSU	34–35	23.9–19.0	5.9
Week 7	@ Oklahoma	13–21	24.4–17.4	15.0