Predicted scoreLikely
Kentucky
19.8
Tennessee
28.5
Tennessee win probability: 71%
Margin (Tennessee − Kentucky): 8.8 (80% range -10 to 28)
Total: 48.3 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:22 PM | 8.8 | 48.3 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:22 PM | 8.8 | 48.3 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:05 PM | 8.8 | 48.3 | 71% |