Tennessee

SEC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ South Carolina	23.8–26.7	57%
Week 10	vs Kentucky	18.0–27.4	73%
Week 11	@ Texas A&M	22.7–23.3	52%
Week 12	vs LSU	21.3–23.8	57%
Week 13	@ Vanderbilt	18.8–29.1	75%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Furman	9–56	—	—
Week 2	@ Georgia Tech	24–45	21.6–30.3	12.3
Week 3	vs Kennesaw State	9–42	11.7–41.9	2.9
Week 4	vs Texas	20–17	25.4–26.5	4.1
Week 5	vs Auburn	14–24	19.4–30.9	1.4
Week 6	@ Arkansas	17–24	23.8–32.0	1.3
Week 7	vs Alabama	10–26	27.7–23.2	20.5