Predicted scoreLean
LSU
22.7
Tennessee
28.4
Tennessee win probability: 64%
Margin (Tennessee − LSU): 5.7 (80% range -14 to 25)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:54 PM | 5.7 | 51.0 | 64% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:46 PM | 5.7 | 51.0 | 64% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:32 PM | 5.7 | 51.0 | 64% |