Predicted scoreLean
Auburn
22.1
Tennessee
29.3
Tennessee win probability: 68%
Margin (Tennessee − Auburn): 7.2 (80% range -13 to 27)
Total: 51.4 (80% range 29 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:10 PM | 7.2 | 51.4 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:13 PM | 7.2 | 51.4 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:28:33 PM | 7.2 | 51.4 | 68% |