Tennessee
SEC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Syracuse | 26–45 | 19.0–34.6 | 3.4 |
| Week 3 | vs Georgia | 44–41 | 25.4–24.3 | 1.9 |
| Week 4 | vs UAB | 24–56 | 13.7–40.9 | 4.8 |
| Week 5 | @ Mississippi State | 34–41 | 22.7–34.3 | 4.7 |
| Week 7 | vs Arkansas | 31–34 | 23.8–34.8 | 8.0 |
| Week 8 | @ Alabama | 37–20 | 29.1–24.9 | 12.8 |
| Week 9 | @ Kentucky | 34–56 | 20.6–26.2 | 16.3 |
| Week 10 | vs Oklahoma | 33–27 | 23.2–28.3 | 11.1 |
| Week 12 | vs New Mexico State | 9–42 | 12.2–41.1 | 4.1 |
| Week 13 | @ Florida | 11–31 | 23.4–28.9 | 14.5 |
| Week 14 | vs Vanderbilt | 45–24 | 28.9–31.7 | 23.8 |
| Week 1 | @ Illinois | 30–28 | 20.4–31.2 | 12.8 |