2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 8:30 PM · Neyland Stadium
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee
Predicted scoreToss-up
Vanderbilt
28.9
Tennessee
31.7
Tennessee win probability: 57%
Margin (Tennessee − Vanderbilt): 2.8 (80% range -18 to 24)
Total: 60.6 (80% range 35 to 87)
Actual: Vanderbilt 45 – Tennessee 24 (margin error 23.8, total error 8.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 21 | 28 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.56% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.