2025 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2025, 12:30 AM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Tennessee @ Florida

Predicted scoreLean

Tennessee

28.9

Florida

23.4

Florida win probability: 36%

Margin (Florida − Tennessee): -5.5 (80% range -25 to 14)

Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Tennessee 31 – Florida 11 (margin error 14.5, total error 10.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.