2025 Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025, 4:00 PM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (neutral site)

Syracuse @ Tennessee

Predicted scoreLikely

Syracuse

19.0

Tennessee

34.6

Tennessee win probability: 84%

Margin (Tennessee − Syracuse): 15.6 (80% range -4 to 36)

Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Syracuse 26 – Tennessee 45 (margin error 3.4, total error 17.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.