2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 11:30 PM · Bryant-Denny Stadium

Tennessee @ Alabama

Predicted scoreLean

Tennessee

24.9

Alabama

29.1

Alabama win probability: 60%

Margin (Alabama − Tennessee): 4.2 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Tennessee 20 – Alabama 37 (margin error 12.8, total error 3.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.