Alabama
SEC
2026 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Upcoming forecasts
Past prediction accuracy — 2026
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs East Carolina | 10–48 | 15.5–36.8 | 16.6 |
| Week 2 | @ Kentucky | 17–45 | 17.7–29.6 | 16.1 |
| Week 3 | vs Florida State | 36–50 | 16.4–35.0 | 4.6 |
| Week 4 | vs South Carolina | 18–49 | 17.8–31.2 | 17.6 |
| Week 5 | @ Mississippi State | 23–56 | 24.5–33.2 | 24.3 |
| Week 6 | vs Georgia | 20–17 | 23.0–27.9 | 7.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Tennessee | 26–10 | 23.2–27.7 | 20.5 |