2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · FirstBank Stadium
Alabama @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreToss-up
Alabama
29.7
Vanderbilt
29.3
Vanderbilt win probability: 49%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Alabama): -0.4 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 59.0 (80% range 34 to 85)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:39 PM | -0.4 | 59.0 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:37 PM | -0.4 | 59.0 | 49% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:38 PM | -0.4 | 59.0 | 49% |