Alabama
SEC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Middle Tennessee | 7–56 | 9.4–45.0 | 13.4 |
| Week 2 | vs Texas | 34–24 | 20.0–35.9 | 25.9 |
| Week 3 | @ South Florida | 3–17 | 15.4–40.8 | 11.4 |
| Week 4 | vs Ole Miss | 10–24 | 22.8–32.7 | 4.2 |
| Week 5 | @ Mississippi State | 17–40 | 19.8–35.1 | 7.7 |
| Week 6 | @ Texas A&M | 20–26 | 21.7–30.3 | 2.5 |
| Week 7 | vs Arkansas | 21–24 | 17.7–32.2 | 11.4 |
| Week 8 | vs Tennessee | 20–34 | 25.2–28.2 | 11.0 |
| Week 10 | vs LSU | 28–42 | 27.0–32.8 | 8.2 |
| Week 11 | @ Kentucky | 21–49 | 21.2–29.6 | 19.5 |
| Week 13 | @ Auburn | 24–27 | 19.5–29.5 | 6.9 |
| Week 14 | vs Georgia | 24–27 | 30.2–25.6 | 7.6 |
| Week 1 | @ Michigan | 27–20 | 27.5–28.5 | 8.0 |