Predicted scoreLikely
Alabama
30.3
Texas A&M
21.7
Texas A&M win probability: 30%
Margin (Texas A&M − Alabama): -8.5 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Alabama 26 – Texas A&M 20 (margin error 2.5, total error 6.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.