Predicted scoreLikely
Ole Miss
22.8
Alabama
32.7
Alabama win probability: 73%
Margin (Alabama − Ole Miss): 9.8 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 55.5 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Ole Miss 10 – Alabama 24 (margin error 4.2, total error 21.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.