Alabama
SEC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Florida State | 31–17 | 16.2–35.0 | 32.8 |
| Week 2 | vs UL Monroe | 0–73 | 13.4–38.3 | 48.1 |
| Week 3 | vs Wisconsin | 14–38 | 19.2–30.6 | 12.5 |
| Week 5 | @ Georgia | 21–24 | 27.5–25.7 | 4.8 |
| Week 6 | vs Vanderbilt | 14–30 | 25.6–33.7 | 7.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Missouri | 24–27 | 23.9–28.2 | 1.3 |
| Week 8 | vs Tennessee | 20–37 | 24.9–29.1 | 12.8 |
| Week 9 | @ South Carolina | 22–29 | 20.9–27.9 | 0.1 |
| Week 11 | vs LSU | 9–20 | 20.9–32.3 | 0.4 |
| Week 12 | vs Oklahoma | 23–21 | 21.5–28.9 | 9.4 |
| Week 14 | @ Auburn | 20–27 | 21.6–28.0 | 0.6 |
| Week 15 | vs Georgia | 28–7 | 26.4–27.4 | 22.0 |
| Week 1 | @ Oklahoma | 24–34 | 21.4–27.4 | 4.1 |
| Week 1 | @ Indiana | 38–3 | 27.4–29.3 | 36.9 |