2025 Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025, 7:30 PM · Williams-Brice Stadium

Alabama @ South Carolina

Predicted scoreLean

Alabama

27.9

South Carolina

20.9

South Carolina win probability: 33%

Margin (South Carolina − Alabama): -6.9 (80% range -27 to 13)

Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Alabama 29 – South Carolina 22 (margin error 0.1, total error 2.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.