2025 Week 15 · Dec 6, 2025, 9:00 PM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (neutral site)

Georgia @ Alabama

Predicted scoreToss-up

Georgia

26.4

Alabama

27.4

Alabama win probability: 53%

Margin (Alabama − Georgia): 1.0 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Georgia 28 – Alabama 7 (margin error 22.0, total error 18.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.