Predicted scoreLikely
LSU
20.9
Alabama
32.3
Alabama win probability: 76%
Margin (Alabama − LSU): 11.4 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 31 to 77)
Actual: LSU 9 – Alabama 20 (margin error 0.4, total error 24.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.