Predicted scoreLean
Alabama
28.0
Auburn
21.6
Auburn win probability: 34%
Margin (Auburn − Alabama): -6.4 (80% range -26 to 13)
Total: 49.6 (80% range 27 to 73)
Actual: Alabama 27 – Auburn 20 (margin error 0.6, total error 2.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.