2025 Postseason · Dec 20, 2025, 1:00 AM · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)

Alabama @ Oklahoma

Predicted scoreLean

Alabama

27.4

Oklahoma

21.4

Oklahoma win probability: 35%

Margin (Oklahoma − Alabama): -5.9 (80% range -25 to 14)

Total: 48.8 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Alabama 34 – Oklahoma 24 (margin error 4.1, total error 9.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.