2025 Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025, 7:30 PM · Bryant-Denny Stadium
Vanderbilt @ Alabama
Predicted scoreLean
Vanderbilt
25.6
Alabama
33.7
Alabama win probability: 69%
Margin (Alabama − Vanderbilt): 8.1 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 59.3 (80% range 34 to 86)
Actual: Vanderbilt 14 – Alabama 30 (margin error 7.9, total error 15.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.60% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.