Predicted scoreToss-up
Alabama
25.7
Georgia
27.5
Georgia win probability: 55%
Margin (Georgia − Alabama): 1.8 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: Alabama 24 – Georgia 21 (margin error 4.8, total error 8.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.