Predicted scoreLean
Oklahoma
21.5
Alabama
28.9
Alabama win probability: 68%
Margin (Alabama − Oklahoma): 7.4 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)
Actual: Oklahoma 23 – Alabama 21 (margin error 9.4, total error 6.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.