2023 Week 14 · Dec 2, 2023, 9:00 PM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (neutral site)

Georgia @ Alabama

Predicted scoreLean

Georgia

30.2

Alabama

25.6

Alabama win probability: 39%

Margin (Alabama − Georgia): -4.6 (80% range -25 to 15)

Total: 55.7 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Georgia 24 – Alabama 27 (margin error 7.6, total error 4.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.