Predicted scoreLean
LSU
27.0
Alabama
32.8
Alabama win probability: 63%
Margin (Alabama − LSU): 5.8 (80% range -15 to 27)
Total: 59.8 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: LSU 28 – Alabama 42 (margin error 8.2, total error 10.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.59% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.