Predicted scoreToss-up
Georgia
24.7
Alabama
26.9
Alabama win probability: 55%
Margin (Alabama − Georgia): 2.2 (80% range -17 to 22)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 29 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:13 PM | 2.1 | 51.6 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:26 PM | 2.2 | 51.7 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:27 PM | 2.2 | 51.7 | 55% |